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Predicting the Winners and Losers in the next LS Polls

NDA may …scrape through

Who is the next tenant at the Prime Minister’s residence? Venkatachalam, a sometime political analyst gives his take on the winners and losers of the forthcoming LS polls, giving a detailed breakup state wise, party wise and group-wise, along with the existing strength of the parties. Ciao after the polls!

 

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

I

J

K

L

M

1

ELECTION 2004

 

ELECTIONS 2009

2

State

# of Seats

BJP

INC

NDA-OTHERS

UPA-OTHERS

THIRD FRONT

 

BJP

INC

NDA-OTHERS

UPA-OTHERS

THIRD FRONT

3

HARYANA

10

1

9

 

 

 

 

4

1

5

 

 

PUNJAB

13

3

2

8

 

 

 

3

2

8

 

 

J&K

6

 

2

 

 

4

 

1

2

 

2

1

6

UTTARKHAND

5

3

1

 

1

 

 

3

1

 

 

 

UTTAR PRADESH

80

10

9

3

35

23

 

15

5

5

20

35

8

RAJASTHAN

25

21

4

 

 

 

 

10

15

 

 

 

DELHI

7

1

6

 

 

 

 

3

4

 

 

 

10 

HIMACHAL PRADESH

4

1

3

 

 

 

 

3

1

 

 

 

11 

BIHAR

40

5

3

6

26

 

 

8

2

26

4

 

12 

MADHYA PRADESH

29

25

4

 

 

 

 

25

4

 

 

 

13 

CHATTISGARH

11

10

1

 

 

 

 

10

1

 

 

 

14 

JHARKHAND

14

1

6

 

6

1

 

5

1

2

6

 

15 

ORISSA

21

7

2

11

1

 

 

7

4

 

 

10

16

WEST BENGAL

42

 

6

 

1

35

 

 

6

1

10

25

17

ASSAM

14

2

9

2

 

1

 

5

2

7

 

 

18 

MEGHLAYA

2

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

1

 

1

 

19 

MIZORAM

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

1

20

SIKKIM

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

2

 

 

 

 

21 

ARUNACHAL PRADESH

2

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

22

NAGALAND

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

1

 

 

1

23

TRIPURA

2

 

 

 

 

2

 

 

1

 

 

1

24

MANIPUR

2

 

1

 

 

1

 

 

1

 

 

1

25

MAHARASTRA

48

13

13

12

10

 

 

15

9

15

9

 

26 

GOA

2

1

1

 

 

 

 

1

1

 

 

 

27 

KERALA

20

 

 

 

 

20

 

1

9

 

 

10

28

TAMILNADU

39

 

10

 

29

 

 

1

4

 

4

30

29

KARNATAKA

28

18

8

 

 

2

 

24

1

 

 

3

30

ANDHRA PRADESH

42

 

29

 

 

13

 

1

18

 

 

23

31

CHANDIGARH

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

32 

DADRA NAGAR HAVELI

1

 

 

 

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

33 

GUJRAT

26

14

12

 

 

 

 

23

3

 

 

 

34 

DAMAN DIU

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

35 

LAKSHDWEEP

1

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

36 

ANDAMAN

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

 

 

37 

PUDUCHERRY

1

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

38

 

543

138

145

43

111

106

 

172

101

71

56

143

39

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

243

157

 

 

143

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

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